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California Dreaming
In the End, Luck Will Reside Up
North
By
Charlie in the Trees
Outsports.com
LAS VEGAS --Welcome to the first All-Wild Card World Series.
Welcome to the first All-California World Series which does not
involve the Oakland A’s. Welcome to the first World Series which
follows six postseason series each resulting in the team with away
field disadvantage (the opposite of home field advantage) winning the
series. Welcome to the first World Series involving any incarnation
of the Los Angeles, California or Anaheim Angels. Welcome to the
first Barry Bonds World Series.
The Anaheim Angels vs. the San
Francisco Giants. One is the most balanced, most complete team in
baseball. The other is a patchwork outfit riding a tremendous hot
streak. Talent versus luck. Who’ll win?
The two league
championship series each matched very similar teams. It was
surprisingly that both ended up so lopsided.
Over in the American
League, the Angels and Twins each were complete teams. The whole was
much greater than the sum of their parts. Neither had any one
dominant player. Both were young and hungry survivors of Bud Selig’s
contraction plan/fiasco, although one escaped much more narrowly than
the other.
In the ALCS, Angel
pitching got hot and shut down the Twins’ offense. The Twins middle
relief corps, forced with having to make perfect pitches to keep pace
with the Angels, promptly fell apart under pressure. The Twins middle
relievers should have been a team weakness, but they were great
through the first 168 games. Unfortunately for the Twins, they were
pathologically awful in the last four games and the Angels walked away
with a five-game victory.
Adam Kennedy was the
series MVP. But it just as easily could have been Troy Glaus or Troy
Percival. Or Darin Erstad. Or Garret Anderson. The Angels are the
best “team” in baseball, team being ordinarily defined as a group
coming together to achieve a goal. Everyone contributes. There is
not a single weakness in the entire batting order or on the entire
pitching staff. While there may be no one opposing teams fear coming
to bat in a key late-inning situation, there also is no one Angels
fans fear either.
On the other hand,
from the National League, the Giants are riding the queen mother of
all lucky streaks. They drew the always-underachieving Braves in the
first round. They were then on the field when the snake bit Cardinals
finally wore out. This was an emotionally draining year for St.
Louis. the death of Daryl Kile may have been the worst, but it was
not the only tragedy endured by this team. After their ALDS win over
Arizona and the freak injury to Scott Rolen, the Cards were mentally
and emotionally exhausted. They had nothing left in the psychic
tanks. And it showed on the field. (Ironically, it showed at its
worst in their lone win, Game Three, when the team, especially studly
second baseman Fernando Vina, forgot to play defense.) The Giants
deserve credit for taking advantage of golden opportunities handed to
them.
This is not to say
the Giants are a bad team. After all, it takes boatloads of talent to
manufacture enough good luck to win a championship. Just look at the
very lucky New England Patriots.
Still, the Giants are
a patchwork unit held together by one star (Jeff Kent), one near star
(Rich Aurilia) and one super-duper-star (Barry Bonds). Everyone else
is a question mark. Kenny Lofton? Mediocre since 1999. J.T. Snow?
Ordinarily, it’s a problem when your first baseman can’t hit a lick.
Reggie Sanders? Shouldn’t be starting right field anywhere, let alone
in the World Series. The starting pitching is even more ordinarily:
four number-three starters, at best.
Ever since Joe Torre
was hired to manage the New York Yankees, following the loss in a 1995
ALDS by the Buck Showalter burnouts to the Ken Griffey Mariners, the
team that has won the World Series has fallen into one of two
categories:
(1) The team that has had the most luck during the three rounds of
playoffs; or
(2) The New York Yankees.
Last year, the
Diamondbacks may have had the best one-two starting combo in baseball,
but they also had a tremendous amount of good luck. Numerous goofs
and mistakes turned into good fortune. The Florida Marlins got very
lucky defeating Cleveland in 1997 . Every other year, of course,
ended in Yankees triumphant.
The Yankees are not
in the World Series. This year, Lady Luck is making noise with the
orange thunderstix. The Angels may be the superior team, just like
the St. Louis Rams in last year’s Super Bowl, but superior talent has
been a lousy predictor thus far this post-season.
The team without home
advantage has won every series thus far in 2002. If the Giants win,
it will be seven for seven for the team with road-disadvantage. Seven
sounds right. Giants in seven.
Key Players

Eckstein
Aurila
Angels: David Eckstein sets the tone for this no-superstars
team. Expect him to make life miserable for the Giants.
Giants: Bonds will hit. But will he have anyone to hit in? Rich
Aurilia getting on base is key. |