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I thought long and hard about my Top Five MVP candidates all
day on Monday - specifically, did I give the #5 spot to the
wrong guy. I think I may have. I think the wide
receiver position is the most overlooked position on the
offense, so I wanted to put a receiver in their (thus, Owens
got my #5 spot). But, when I look at what the
individual players have done, and how much they mean to
their team, I think Brett Favre does get my #5 spot
for MVP. For now, I'll call it a tie.
I don't remember a regular season week where everything went
so closely to what I wanted to happen. The only way Cleveland
AND the New York Jets could make the playoffs was if
the Pats beat the Dolphins, the Jets beat the Packers
and the Browns beat the Falcons. All
three managed to beat the other team (who all had better
records) and, low and behold, I'm still alive in my annual
season-long pool with Jim and five other friends.
Of course, this all means that everything will go wrong
for me next weekend.
New Orleans pulled off one of the greatest choke
jobs I can remember. In their last three weeks, they
lost to Minnesota (at home), Cincinnait and Carolina
(at home). Couple those three losses with the Saints'
earlier loss to Detroit, and they lost four games to
teams that were a combined 14-46 when they weren't playing
the Saints. In fact, that Minnesota loss was the
Vikings' first road victory in 16 tries, dating back to 2000
season.
With all the coaching vacancies that will be out there
starting this week, I'll be most interested to see where Denny
Green ends up. No, he couldn't win in the playoffs
with Minnesota (or Stanford, for that matter).
But, he knows how to coach and get the most out of his
players. Atlanta would be a great fit for him, but Reeves
will likely stay where he is. Dallas would be
interesting, but the Cowboys don't have the offense that
Green would like to have. The Lions are my pick
for his next home. He coached in that division for
many years - and with great success. And, with the 7th
or 8th pick, he may be able to figure out a way to get Larry
Johnson from Penn State or Miami's Willis McGahee,
either of whom would be a great compliment to Joey
Harrington.
I love lists and awards; so, here go a few:
Coach of the Year
1) Jim Fassell, New York Giants. This team
should have been out of the playoff hunt in early
November. Instead, they will be playing in
January. When he took over the offensive play-calling,
they started scoring points like a real NFL team (except for
Week 17, but who's counting);
2) Andy Reid, Philadelphia. His team faced the
biggest injury of the season in the NFL and responded with
five straight wins and the #1 seed in the NFC;
3) Mike Sherman, Green Bay. After retooling his
receiving corps, Sherman faced a plague of injuries on the
defense and still won the division by six games;
4) Herman Edwards, New York Jets. He was swift
in yanking Vinny Testaverde after just four games, which led
to a fast-improved offense; the team's defense got better
and better with every week (more or less) going from
worst-to-first in the final 12 weeks of the season;
5) Dan Reeves, Atlanta. The Falcons started 1-3
with some heartbreaking losses. But, Reeves stuck to
the game plan and led the birds back to the playoffs for the
first time since they lost the Super Bowl.
MVP
1) Chad Pennington. The Jets were 1-3 and had
scored in the single digits their last three games
when he took over the reigns; they went 8-4 after that and
never scored in the single digits again; he also had the
highest quarterback rating of any quarterback with at least
eight starts;
2) Rich Gannon. The guy had great numbers and
was the key player in the second highest scoring offense
this year. Yes, he had a strong supporting cast, but
that's not his fault;
3) Priest Holmes. Until he injured his hip, he
was on pace to break Marshall Faulk's record for touchdowns
in a season. No team relied on one player more to win;
had he played the full 16 games and his team made the
playoffs, he'd be my #1 pick;
4) Drew Bledsoe. Last year, this team had three
wins; this year, they had eight. Drew seemed to slump
in December, but that looked a lot more like
"conservative" playcalling than Drew taking a
dive;
5) Terrell Owens. Marvin Harrison had more yards, but
Owens had more touchdowns and his team a better record; and,
they didn't get to play Houston twice. Owens was the
most feared man on the field in every game he played;
5) Brett Favre. He may have single-handedly
lost a couple games for his team this season, but he also
carried that offense at times and is still amazing to watch
when he's on. If he could straighten out his
occasional lapses, he could be the best ever.
Hot New Faces
1) David Carr, QB, Houston. Even if he is gayer
than I am, he is still the hottest thing with a helmet;
2) Brian Finneran, WR, Atlanta. Dark, tosseled
hair and guns for biceps make him an obvious choice;
3) Billy Miller, TE, Houston. I haven't even
seen him, but he scored me a lot of fantasy points this
season, so I'm all about him;
4) Chad Pennington, QB, New York Jets. He's
been around for a couple years, but is just now getting my
attention.
5) Joey Harrington, QB, Detroit. Totally cool;
totally hot. Too bad he plays for the Lions.
I'm excited for the playoffs. While I think Jim is
right (he's said that a wild card will never go to the Super
Bowl again), you have eight teams each with a legit shot at
a trip to San Diego.
I said at the beginning of the season that the Philadelphia
Eagles would beat the New York Jets, 24-10, in
the Super Bowl. And I'm sticking by it.
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Now that the dance card has been filled,
here's my down-and-dirty look at the 12 playoff teams and my
picks:
AFC
1 seed. Oakland: The Raiders have won seven of eight
and have a veteran team made for a Super Bowl run. I thought
they would run out of gas by season's end, but they look
fresh. The AFC favorite, especially playing in that hell
hole of a stadium.
2. Tennessee: The Titans have won 10 of 11 and are
playing solid defense and consistent offense. This is not
the league's most talented team and their record is a
testament to quarterback Steve McNair.
3. Pittsburgh: The mystery team in the AFC. Tommy
Maddox can throw four touchdowns or four picks in a
game, the defense can be inspired or flat. This can be a
one-and-done squad or a surprise.
4. New York: Quarterback Chad Pennington is
the real deal and he makes the Jets dangerous. I wonder,
though, if their late-season run has taken too much out of
them.
5. Indianapolis: The Colts are an unimpressive 10-6,
but any team with Peyton Manning and Marvin
Harrison can't be dismissed. The Ponies have played
their best ball on the road.
6. Cleveland: How the hell did they sneak in there?
The Browns always hang around, which makes them
unpredictable.
Picks:
Wild Card Round: Steelers beat the Browns; Colts upset
the Jets.
Divisional: Steelers go into Tennessee and pull an
upset; Raiders beat the Colts.
AFC Title Game: Raiders vs. Steelers, just like in
the '70s. Raiders win and make their first Super Bowl since
1983.
NFC
1. Philadelphia: Home cooking is huge. Eagles really
need Donovan McNabb back, because A.J. Feeley
won't cut it against good defenses.
2. Tampa Bay: Crap offense, golden defense. They
can't win on the road.
3. Green Bay: The Pack blew a chance to get a bye and
home field and their playoff chances look dim. They might
win in Tampa, but won't in
Philadelphia.
4. San Francisco: They have not impressed me, but at
least should be fresh having clinched the division three
weeks ago. Hope we see Terrell Owens shake his
pompons again.
5. New York: The Giants are hot, but don't see them
doing much on the road.
6. Atlanta: Michael Vick makes this team
dangerous, but winning in Lambeau would be historic.
Picks:
Wild Card Round: Pack hangs on over Falcons; 49ers drop
Giants.
Divisional Round: Eagles frustrate the 49ers; Bucs
rally at home to beat the Packers (Note: this assumes Brad
Johnson is the Tampa quarterback; if he is not, then the
Packers win).
NFC Title Game: Eagles beat either the Bucs or
Packers to reach the Super Bowl.
Super Bowl:
It'll be just like the 1980 season: Raiders over the
Eagles for all the marbles, 23-13.
SEASON AWARDS
--MVP: Rich Gannon (Oakland quarterback). He willed the
Raiders to the AFC's best mark. Runnerup: Brett Favre
(Green Bay quarterback). He would have won if the Pack beat
the Jets on Sunday.
--Top Offensive Player: Marvin Harrison (Indianapolis
Colts receiver). 143 catches is sick. He can't be stopped
and may be the best player at
any position in the league.
--Top Defensive Player: Derrick Brooks (Tampa Bay
linebacker). The best player on the best defense.
--Coach of the Year: Andy Reid
(Philadelphia). Gets his team home field despite playing
with his third-string quarterback for six weeks. Runnerup:
Jeff Fisher (Tennessee). His team looked dead at 1-4
and wound up with the AFC's second seed.
--Game of the Year: Buffalo 45- Minnesota 39 (overtime,
Week 2). For sheer entertainment value, this one was
tops. Runnerup: Indianapolis 23, Denver 20 (overtime,
Week 12). Watching a snow bowl is always fun.
--Significant Plays of the Year: Cleveland's
last-play Hail Mary pass to beat Jacksonville in Week 14. If
the pass in incomplete, the Browns miss the playoffs and
Denver gets in. Runnerup: Mike Vanderjagt's
two 50+-yard field goals in the snow to beat Denver in Week
12. The most clutch kicks I've ever seen in the regular
season.
--Homoerotic Moments of the Season: Take your
pick--just about any time a player jumps on a teammate who
just scored. There was also a great moment Sunday when New
England kicker Adam Vinatieri tied the game against
Miami. As the kick went through, Vinatieri leaned close to
holder Ken Walter with a look of affection in his eye
and they lightly bumped heads. It made for a nice fantasy.
WEEK 17 NOTES
--Terrible play-calling doomed the Miami Dolphins,
who completed their yearly December swoon with consecutive
losses. The 'Fins led New England by three with 2:42 left
and had first down at their own 8. Logic would dictate
running Ricky Williams, who had gained 185 yards
would touch the ball. At the very least, the clock would
have run down and the Pats would have had to burn their
timeouts. But Miami inexplicably threw two passes,
then had quarterback Jay Fiedler run. New England got
the ball back, forced a tie and won in overtime. The loss
knocked Miami from the playoffs and no team deserved their
fate more. We are spared watching Miami lose by double
digits in the playoffs.
--Atlanta also had awful
play-calling. Down 24-16 to Cleveland and time running out,
the Falcons had second-and-goal from the Cleveland 1. The
Falcons' quarterback is the electric Michael Vick and
a reasonable person would assume he would do some sort of
rollout. But no--two runs by Warrick Dunn for no gain
and an incomplete pass and the Browns win.
--Watched the games with Outsports
Discussion Board stalwart
Sportinlife (real name Brice). We had a great time
flipping between all the action. He's quite a renaissance
man--football in the morning followed by an art museum in
the afternoon.
--The Saints were 5-0 against
division winners and 0-3 against last-place teams. Their
collapse down the stretch, where they lost their final three
games to Minnesota (6-10), Cincinnati (2-14) and Carolina
(7-9) was the biggest choke I can remember in the NFL. |