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Related: 2003 season overview.

By Charlie in the Trees
For Outsports
1.  SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Hot Giant: J.T. Snow. Still the hottest-looking human in the City and County of San Francisco.

Newbies: Felipe Alou (manager), Edgardo Alfonso (2B-3B), Ray Durham (2B), Damian Moss (LHP), Jose Cruz, Jr. (OF), Marquis Grissom (OF), Neifi Perez (SS), Andres Galarraga (1B)

Goners: Jeff Kent (2B), David Bell (3B), Russ Ortiz (RHP), Reggie Sanders (OF), Kenny Lofton (OF), Tom Goodwin (OF), Shawon Dunston (OF), Tsuyoshi Shinjo (OF), Jay Witasick (RHP), Ramon E. Martinez (2B)

Upside: They still have Barry Bonds and GM Brian Sabean. Ageless Bonds, a physical marvel on the cusp of 40, is showing no signs of slowing down. Neither is Sabean. Perennial Manager of the Year Dusty Baker wins mega-bucks in Chicago; Sabean hires the most respected former manager on the market, Felipe Alou. Redneck Jeff Kent leaves via free agency; Sabean upgrades the lead-off spot with his replacement, Ray Durham. All that and liberating Edgardo Alfonso from that dysfunctional asylum in Queens, to replace the pedestrian David Bell.

Downside: The traditional champion’s exodus of players hit Pac Bell hard, leaving lots of holes to fill and new faces to integrate in its wake. This could cause the Giants to stumble out of the gate. The most serious long-term consequence is the severely thinned-out bench.

Bottom Line: Other than swapping in Ray Durham for Jeff Kent at second, the Giants will not be weaker at any position. That includes manager. And the clubhouse harmony resulting from Kent’s exit should be sweet. At least Barry should be less bitchy. This team should continue making the playoffs until Bonds goes into an age-induced decline.

2002 record: 95-66, 2nd place, NL wild card, NL champions

2003 prediction: 90-72, 1st place

2. LOS ANGELES DODGERS

Hot Dodger: Adrian Beltre. Can we please bring Mark Grudzielanek back from the Cubs just for the purpose of choosing a team hottie?

Newbies: Fred McGriff (1B), Todd Hundley (C), Daryle Ward (OF),

Goners: Eric Karros (1B), Mark Grudzielanek (2B), Marquis Grissom (OF), Omar Daal (LHP), Tyler Houston (3B-C)

Upside: Smart management, which did an incredible job piecing together a patchwork lineup on the limited budget left after Fox paid on those horrible contracts from the Kevin “New Sheriff” Malone era. For 2002, GM Dan Evans got the Braves to throw Odalis Perez into Gary Sheffield deal. Perez ended up being LA’s best starter. For an encore, he unloaded some awful big-bucks contracts on the Cubbies. Meanwhile, manager Jim Tracy has established himself as one of the best in the business. Smartest decision: using the untamed, inconsistent, but talented arm of Eric Gagne at closer. Gagne merely rang up 52 saves with an ERA under 2.00.

Downside: Who among the starting pitchers can bounce back from injury? Kevin Brown is 38 and missed most of the last two years to injury. He’s done. Darren Dreifort is 30 and has had more arm surgeries than Michael Jackson’s had nose jobs. (Well, almost.) Kazuhisa Ishii’s season ended when he took a line drive to the forehead in early September, but he struggled for several starts prior to the beaning. Best bet for a bounce back: Andy Ashby. If the Dodgers cannot keep together some semblance of a starting rotation, they will not keep pace with the West’s two incumbent playoff teams.

Bottom Line: The Big Question: Why did Sandy Koufax cut his ties to the Dodgers? Because he was upset with: (A) the invasion into his privacy; (B) an unfounded accusation that he was gay; or (C) the fact that the hot bods of Eric Karros and Mark Grudzielanek would no longer be walking around the Dodgers locker room, making it pointless to travel all the way to Vero this spring?

2002 record: 92-70, 3rd place

2003 prediction: 89-73, 2nd place, wild card

3. ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

Hot Snake: Junior Spivey. At age 28, Ernest Lee is the cute young kid of the D-Back line-up.

Newbies: Elmer Dessens (RHP), Ron Villone (LHP), Ricky Bottalico (RHP), Manny Aybar (RHP)

Goners: Damian Miller (C), Erubiel Durazo (1B), Brian Anderson (LHP), Rick Helling (RHP), Mike Morgan (RHP), Todd Stottlemyre (RHP), Greg Colbrunn (1B), Jay Bell (2B)

Upside: The D-Backs still have Randy Johnson and Curt Schilling. Johnson, who will be 40 by playoff time, is a freak of nature who can pitch unlimited innings and shows no signs of aging. Add to baseball’s best one-two punch the fact that Arizona’s minor league system is starting to produce: rookie Lyle Overbay replaces charismatic Mark Grace at first.

Downside: After Johnson and Schilling, the pitching is thin. There is such an arms shortage in Arizona that closer Byung-Hyun Kim moves into the rotation. Manager Bob Brenly, who has a solid track record of identifying the right player to place where, is praying that matinee idol Matt Mantei is finally healthy enough to be the ace closer he was in Florida, which was back in the last century.

Bottom Line: Luis Gonzalez was the team’s MVNP (most valuable non-pitcher). Had he not separated his shoulder on the eve of the playoffs, would the D-Backs have won a second straight World Series? Maybe. Maybe not. Johnson was pitching as good as ever (meaning, as good as any pitcher in history), but by late September, Schilling was running on fumes. Back in 2001, Arizona was the oldest team ever to win a World Series back in 2001. Since then, their core is two years older and they have lost pitching depth. It will be tough for the codgers to go three rounds in the playoffs.

2002 record: 98-64, 1st place

2003 prediction: 87-75, 3rd place

4. COLORADO ROCKIES

Hot Rock: Ben Petrick. Two of the hottest bods in baseball are in the Coors outfield: fitness models Gabe Kapler and Jay Payton. Maybe Ben can get some training tips and beef up just a bit?

Newbies: Charles Johnson (C), Preston Wilson (OF), Jose Hernandez (SS), Chris Stynes (3B)

Goners: Mike Hampton (LHP), Juan Pierre (OF), Todd Zeile (3B), Sandy Alomar, Jr. (C), Kent Mercker (LHP), Pete Harnisch (RHP)

Upside: Some impressive acquisitions on offense. Playing in the thin air, new catcher Charles Johnson and new shortstop Jose Hernandez should be the NL’s best offensive players at their respective positions. With the Rocks’ re-commitment to power hitting, look for a return to those 16-14, five-hour marathon games reminiscent of their time in Mile High Stadium.

Downside: The Rockies have assembled one of baseball’s greatest collection of strikeout artists. Great news if we were talking pitching. Unfortunately, we are talking about the batting order. Newcomers Preston Wilson and Hernandez each could break the single-season record that Hernandez failed to break last year only because Brewer management nailed him to the bench for the last week of the season.

Bottom Line: Rudderless franchise in search of a clue. A new season and yet another new philosophy on how to win at one mile above sea level. 2001: the year of the big money pitchers (Hampton, Neagle). The idea was that they only needed to give up fewer runs than the Rocks would score. 2002: the run-and-gun speed game. 2003: Home Run Derby! What can we expect these philosophies to have in common? A third straight 73-89 record, perhaps?.

2002 record: 73-89, 4th place

2003 prediction: 73-89, 4th place

5. SAN DIEGO PADRES

Hot Daddy: Adam Eaton. Cute, young up-and-comer. The City of San Diego wins the title for having the best-looking men in America, but their average-looking baseball team is not even in the competition.

Newbies: Jaret Wright (RHP), Francisco Cordova (RHP), Keith Lockhart (2B), Mark Loretta (2B), Brady Anderson? (OF)

Goners: Ray L ankford (OF), Brett Tomko (RHP), Deivi Cruz (SS)

Upside: Plenty of veteran leadership helping rebuild this young team. With Ryan Klesko anchoring the offense, the Padres will score runs. CF Mark Kotsay has emerged as baseball’s best defensive outfielders west of Torii Hunter. Into this veteran mix walks Brady Anderson, a non-roster invitee to Padre training camp. Brady in San Diego? Hello, Hillcrest!

Downside: The pitching staff was racked by injuries last year and the news gets worse for 2003: Trevor Hoffman, the NL’s best closer over the last several seasons, is out until at least the All Star break. Hawaiian-born cutie Brandon Villafuerte will sub. No matter how good his understudy pitches, Hoffman will be sorely missed. And the injury bug keeps biting as Phil Nevin could be out for the season.

Bottom Line: Only one more year until that new waterfront ballpark. The Padres have been building towards 2004 since the final out of the 1998 World Series. Several talented youngsters (Sean Burroughs, Xavier Nady, pitchers Adam Eaton and Jake Peavy) will get another year’s experience, under the able management of the under-rated Bruce Bochy. The Pads could be ready to win as soon as next year. But not this year.

2002 record: 66-96, last place

2003 prediction: 72-90, last place