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fantomas:
Wait, am I reading GMG's comments right that Crist is a gay man, or am I misreading them? If he is for civil unions, this is great; it would be even better if he were for full marriage/partnership rights, like some northeastern Republicans (Bloomberg, Weld, etc.). But it is a good sign, and as GMG says, not ALL Republicans are against equal rights for gay people, just most of the ones who have power (from W on down to most GOP governors outside the northeast).
But what about the Republicans he's running against? Are they equally pro-gay rights? What about the Democrats? Are there any links or citations to show what the others' positions are?
I look at it this way: most Democrats when running will not go all the way and say they're for gay marriage, though they often will say privately they're for gay equal rights. They will publicly hedge and cadge, but when an equality bill comes up, they usually go along with it, even many of the "conservative" ones. Look at California, or New Jersey's legislature, or Vermont's, or Connecticut's. Most Republicans running for statewide or national office are, on principle, opposed to equal rights for gays, and often use religion as their fallback. Some like Ken Blackwell of Ohio, Rick Perry of Texas, etc. are extremely homophobic or associate with extreme homophobes. When the GOP can shed more of these people as well as the creeps in Washington, we'll all be better off as a nation.
Okay, the deal is this: Charlie Crist's sexual orientation has long been the subject of speculation. The guy he ran against in the primary, Tom Gallagher, well, there are issues. This was his fourth run for governor. The first three times, he tried to paint himself as a moderate Republican. He's also known for living a bit of an...ummm....hedonistic life. He once wandered up to somebody he thought was his accountant and talked about how he f---ed this woman on the hood of a car in a parking garage. Said accountant was ACTUALLY a reporter for the Miami Herald.
But then, in his late 50s, he got married and had a couple of kids, so he decided that family values were his thing, and he tried to play to the far right. But it also turned out that when he was the insurance commissioner, he also had investments that were CLEAR, CLEAR, CLEAR conflicts of interest. So, Crist wins the primary. Pretty easily, actually.
Florida is an odd, odd place as far as electoral politics. Drive through north Florida, and you'll see billboards encouraging the US to get out of the United Nations and urging us all to repent. No, I'm not kidding.
South Florida tends to vote for Democrats. Could be largely because of the gay population, could be largely because of the older Jewish population who skew toward the Dems. Lots of retireees from the northeast here, too, and they also lean Democrat.
The one exception to that rule is the Cuban population, who have never forgiven the Democrats for JFK and his Bay of Pigs fiasco. They also enjoy the Republican hard line toward Cuba.
Florida's true swing voters run along a swath of land between Orlando and Tampa, an area we call the I-4 corridor. There is a large, large group of voters registered as independents, and that is who tends to turn elections in this state.
As far as the governor's race, I suspect that Jim Davis will close the gap a bit on Charlie Crist, but Jeb Bush is still VERY popular in Florida (don't get me started), and he's campaigning right next to Crist, so I'm guessing that Crist will win.
The senate race? Katherine Harris is the party's worst nightmare, because the moderates in Florida don't trust her, the Democrats hate her, and so not only will she not win, but there are some very close US House seats that could change from R to D, because KH will mobilize Democrats who want to vote against her.