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mdphl:
Pew poll shows W leading a generic Democrat by only 5 points AND any incumbent under 50% is always considered vulnerable.
This is deja vue -- he has fallen almost 40 points since 9/11 (using the approval rating figure of 53%)a la Daddy Bush after Iraq I.
Deja vu it is not. One major ingredient is missing this time around: Ross Perot. There will not be a 3rd party candidate as significant as Perot was in 1992. Besides, it's a looooooong time until the election. It's way too early to count Bush out--or in, for that matter.