Read an article this week that the guy's campaign is totally bleeding. He has lost his confidence on the stump varying his speaking style from his usual senatorial pomposity to trying to be the "average Joe". I guess the tough guy F-bomb approach didn't do the trick.

I say he is out by 10:00 p.m. on New Hampshire primary night. Any other prognostications?

He'll last through New Hampshire at least. Doesn't look like he has a shot at winning there anymore, but even if he does better than expected, it could be played as a victory for him. I'm just curious to see who of Gephardt, Lieberman, Edwards, and Kerry is the first to fall.

mdphl:agree with you. If Kerry doesn't at least come out as #2 or 3 in New Hampshire he is toast. He for some reason hasn't connected with the voters. I suspect a big part of that is because most of what he orates, is dumping on Dean.

puckman: I think if Kerry finishes #3 in NH, he'll drop out the following morning. He really needs to be first or (at worst) second in his own backyard, especially since was the probitive frontrunner for so long. If he comes in second (Dean should win in NH) Kerry will limp into the south and die in South Carolina. At that point, even Teresa Heinz will slap him hard and scream "Snap out of it!!"

~Adam

Gephardt has some traction in the Midwest and South, and Edwards as a moderate Southerner also may stay in for a bit. Kerry's in trouble, though. And Lieberman is turning into Karl Rove's henchman; as Paul Krugman notes in his column today, Lieberman's extremely harsh and self-serving comments could (and will) come back to haunt the Democrats and Dean during the general campaign. I can't see why he thinks he has even a shred of a chance; like Sharpton, Moseley Braun and Kucinich, he's in serious denial, though the latter two at least have constituencies in the Democratic party (feminists/women of color and ultraliberals, respectively) who will almost certainly vote for whomever the Democratic nominee is. Lieberman is trying a 2002 strategy, which, as we saw, failed miserably. Get out, Joe--and SHUT UP!

I thought you guys were all about encouraging dissent and free speech. My bad.

Well, you're right to call me on this. I wrote it out of frustration, because I see Lieberman's actions as totally self-focused without any regard for the party or the fall 2004 elections. He's not a winner and he realizes it. But hey, it's his right to dissent, cause problems, promote the agenda of Terry McAuliffe and RWLC (Republicrat Wannabe Leadership Council). Joe Lieberman can slam Dean all he wants, just as Zell Miller can act out against the party and so on. Good call, William.

mdphl, I guess in light of last night's results, you're a shoo in for NOTradamus of the year!

Hey, lets give mdphl a break, he also predicted that Philly would beat Carolina!

Hey, when is Lieberman going to drop out? Is there ANY state primary he could possible win?

I agree with fantamos, LIeberman is so damned...correct, he annoys the hell out of me. I voted for him with Gore but could never support him again with his political gesturing and inability to stand on an issue completely.

Lieberman is at 6% now in NH and going nowhere, I would'nt be a bit suprised if he drops out after NH.

Lieberman is nothing more than a Republican in democratic clothing. He motivates me not!