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Charlie in the Trees
I've always thought that Ralph Wiley was the most unreadable, illogical and downright bone-headed of all ESPN columnists, but his latest column is beyond-absurd even by his normal standards. The column, titled \"Squeeze Play: Baseball's troubling issue\", is about the alleged "disappearance" of American-born blacks from the game of baseball and how this is a "problem," apparently due to racism.

In a show of ignorance that should get anyone forever barred from the field of sports journalism, Wiley makes this assertion:
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It is usually the American-born blacks' records and place that are resented instead of celebrated. For example, it's the stolen base that is denigrated as a weapon by baseball sabermaticians like Bill James, at precisely the time when a Rickey Henderson steals 130 bases in a season. There are sour grapes when a baseball man uses stats to tell you a stolen base isn't important. Any time a baseball manager will give up an out for a base, as with a sac bunt or groundball to the right side, any time a base is so precious, then it goes without saying that the stolen base must be important. Not the CS, the caught stealing, or stats of success rates, but the stolen base itself.
So much so wrong.

First: Wiley flat out states that Bill James must be racist because he thinks the stolen base is unimportant. Wiley displays so little knowledge of baseball that he totally dismisses any other reason for this. For example, the sac bunt (which James is not a huge fan of either, but you'd never know that from Wiley's writing) does not result in the loss of the baserunner if it fails. The stolen base does. James says that this risk of getting caught rarely outweighs the benefit of the extra base. That's racist? It is to Wiley. (And, if white folks don't like the stolen base because it's the domain of black players, then please explain the disproprtionally high value attached to the stolen base in that favorite side game of white baseball fans: fantasy baseball.)

And he charts the denigration of the stolen base with the rise of Rickey Henderson. Does Wiley know who held the record before Rickey? Does the name "Lou Brock" ring any bells? I believe that Mr. Brock, like Mr. Henderson, is African-American. And right after Brock broke the record, we had the golden age of basestealing, with teams running the bases in record numbers throughout the 70s and 80s. Anyone remember Whiteyball with the Cards? It wasn't called "Whiteyball" because of white ballplayers. It was Vince Coleman and Willie McGee and Ozzie Smith (and Tommy Herr, too) stealing bases and advancing runners. And except for Herr Herr, what was the skin color of those other three, Mr. Wiley?

And the whole idea that a rcord is denigrated, and the skill devalued, because the record is held by an African-American, what about the home run, Mr. Wiley? All time record? Hank Aaron. Skin color? Black. Single season record? Barry Bonds? Skin color? Black. No signs of the end of the "chicks dig the longball" era, especially since all those racist sabermetricians denigrated by Mr. Wiley loved the home run-based Earl Weaver redux offense being run by the Oakland A's. And who's the A's best player? Why it's brown-skinned Miguel Tejeda, isn't it Mr. Wiley?

You know, I don't see a single number in Mr. Wiley's column to indicate whether the number of African-Americans is on the decline in major league baseball. Perhaps it is, but with more Latin players (many of whom are darker skinned than U.S. born African-Americans), are the number of black players, en toto, higher or lower, don't know. Are the number of African-Americans higher or lower than the total percentage of the population? Wiley not only does not have the stats, he's completely uninterested in anything other than his bald assertion of racism.

Is it too much to ask that a sports columnist have some facts before he makes a serious charge of racism? It's columns like this that devalue the whole idea of lingering racism in our society. To casually link Bill James calculation that the stolen base is useless to racism is to completely misunderstand what racism truly is. I would have thought that an African-American journalist would have understood.
JC
Nobody who actually READS Bill James would think he was racist. This reminds me of that silly recent article on basketball.

Anyway, James (and other sabermetricians) have never suggested the stolen base is useless. What they say is that you have to have a high success rate for it to be useful--which the St. Louis Cardinals of the '80's had (along with a high on base percentage and superlative defense). No sabermetrician would claim that Tim Raines and Rickey Henderson's base stealing exploits were meaningless. Hell, at one point, James was arguing that players that are fast when they're young age better than similar players who aren't. James has never said that SPEED is useless. The sacrifice bunt, yes, speed, no.

Plus, historically, when run scoring goes up, stolen bases go down. All those white guys in the deadball era stole tons of bases, because the value of one run was much higher. In the twenties and thirties, nobody stole bases.
Joe in Philly
QUOTE
Charlie in the Trees:
 For example, the sac bunt (which James is not a huge fan of either, but you'd never know that from Wiley's writing) does not result in the loss of the baserunner if it fails.  
A minor quibble: it happened to the Phillies in a game in the last week. One of their pitchers bunted into a double play. So it would be better to say the sac bunt does not necessarily result in the loss of the baserunner if it fails.

Reading the article, I have no idea what point he was trying to prove. It's one of the worst articles I've ever read.
Charlie in the Trees
Actually, I just remembered this point: in Bill James's Baseball Abstract books back in the '80s, Rickey Henderson was -- far and away -- Bill James favorite player in the game, if not all time.
Jim Allen
Why is anybody making a big deal about bunting? Most major leaguer's are so bad at it that I'd rather they didn't even try it. Earl Weaver wins; it's a power game now. It's almost as if stealing is too risky; get thrown out and you're reducing the chance for a 2-3 run homer.
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You know, I don't see a single number in Mr. Wiley's column to indicate whether the number of African-Americans is on the decline in major league baseball
[Church Lady voice:] How convenient! SI has a big article about the very subject. To wit:
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According to the 2003 Racial and Gender Report Card, prepared by Richard E. Lapchick of the Institute for Diversity and Ethics in Sport at the University of Central Florida, the number of blacks (defined as U.S.-born African-Americans) in the major leagues dropped almost by half from 1995 to 2002 -- from 19% to 10%. The number is down 63% from 1975, when blacks filled 27% of roster spots
A lot of factors, but the most depressing one put forth is this: "In 1960, 80 percent of urban black families were two-parent households. Now it's 20 percent."

Good article from SI, as opposed to that nonsense on ESPN.

[ July 15, 2003, 09:33 PM: Message edited by: Jim Allen ]
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