QUOTE(mdterp01 @ Feb 18 2009, 09:18 PM)

Ok so big whoop. I made a prediction and it didn't pan out. I made more than a few predictions that didn't pan out. THEY ARE CALLED PREDICTIONS!!!! I don't quite understand. Seems like its some other people who enjoy the "na na na-na na" because I was wrong about it. Guess what...I will make future predictions that turn out wrong as well. Thats why they are called...umm...well...PREDICTIONS!!! Seriously people...I readily admit I was wrong about Nadal. He proved me wrong at Wimbledon. He proved me wrong at the Australian Open, and I said I will never again doubt this kid's ability again after that Australian Open final performance. That whole change your mind thing ya know? It does happen, but I, along with others before me (just making sure I'm not accused of doin the whole Nostradamus/no one else has ever put it in print before I said it thing

) have questioned Nadal's ability to be playing well into his late 20s and 30s because of his style of tennis. Is this the first time something like that has been brought up? I remember thinking the same about Venus and Serena after the '03 season when their bodies seemed to be breaking down. The obvious answer for them was to curtail their schedule and focus on the slams while not being so concerned with the #1 ranking. Was I premature in talking about this so early in Nadal's career? Perhaps. But I said it. Sue me. I mean do you want my blood? What?
No. Nobody wants your blood. At least I think nobody does anyway.
But this post outlines why you get the feedback you get. You make such a brazen "prediction" on Nadal's eventual career demise due to his physical breakdown with such unshakable certainty that it stops being a prediction at that point. It becomes a pronouncement, utterly filled with conviction & certitude (i.e., "I STILL stand by it"). And you don't get to "escape", as it were, by subsequently claiming "Hey, if it didn't pan out, well, it was just a 'prediction' anyway. Geez, why all the commotion kids??". You try to have it both ways. Certainty and abolutism on the one hand; and feeble sheepish, reluctant comeuppance on the other, claiming it's no big deal you were wrong (which is true). But your written certitudes so OBVIOULSY BEG for a huge congratulations to yourself, or a huge SITYS (See I Told You So) should they pan out. It's the Buckshot Prediction Method: throw enough of your "predictions" out and when one sticks, shove it back in everybody's face about how right you were. Enough already. And lets' be honest Terp, all you really do in this case is buy into the Media Conventional Wisdom about Nadal anyway. None of your "predictions" about his health, or his supposed limitations in his game are your own based on your analysis of tennis. It's regurgitation from people like Drysdale, McEnroe, Cahill, etc. You just parrot what they say, and absorb it as YOUR conviction, prediction, certainty, etc. Which is why you have the same amount of egg on your face about Nadal's career as they do (which, credit where it's due, you admirably cop-to in your post above).
And what's this stuff in your post above regarding concerns about Nadal's ability to play tennis into his
20's & 30's as the basis for you "prediction"?? Who in the hell is in their 30's today that plays deep into any Major, healthy or not????????? And now that we have Federer with "back issues" - and he is, by the way 27 - so does HE qualify as someone playing tennis into his 20's in 30's, as you claim above? Where were your "predictions" about him? Did you think that he could never have the slightest concern about any injury or condition at all when he packed 13 Majors and 50 ATP titles into a mere 6 years of a career? What..no clue from you that an amount of tennis that great into such a short time span would yield any physical repercussions for him? I'd say given your certitude about Nadal's eventual physical breakdown, your reknowned powers of prognostication deserted you regarding Federer's back injury (and uh, just so you know - some people here DID envision such a thing for him). I guess your need an overhaul of that sharp insight you posess. Or maybe we'll get your Federer "predictions" on his physical ills once you hear it from Drysdale, PMac, Cahill & Company.