QUOTE(Tennis Guy @ Apr 6 2009, 07:45 AM)

It's really hard to guage how Murray will do on clay, but not having a lot to defend, it would appear that it won't be long before he's #3 with the Djoke holding a mere 140 pt lead over him for that position.
The issue of clay is interesting regarding Murray. His brand of counter-punching works best when he's able to absorb the pace of shots and then inject his own pace into his replies when he's ready. That kind of strategy requires, among a number of things, a truer, more consistent height on the bounce off of the court. That's why hard courts are Murray's greatest friend. Clay will definitely not give him that. The bounces will be too inconsistent and many times way too high for him to do his best stuff, forcing him to play further behind the base line than he normally plays on a hard court. Murray has a similar problem in reverse on grass, with the bounces there being even more inconsistent and the ball will stay much lower than optimal for his game. He'll spend too much time being defensive, either trying to lower the height of the ball on clay or having to dig it up off of the court on grass. Lest we forget, Murray has had his struggles at Wimbledon, down Match Point last year to Gasquet in the 4th Round before Nadal destroyed him in the Quarters. And on clay he has yet to reach the Quarters at the French, or the Semis at any of the clay court Masters Series Events. It's worth noting that during Murray's ascent he was asked about whether he valued winning Wimbledon over everything else, and his response was that he'd much rather win the US Open. Which is understandable, given what his game has become. He's got a better chance in New York.
Martina has repeatedly said two things about Grass Court Tennis that are as true today as they were when she dominated there: 1) grass courts bring out the athlete, and 2) grass courts reward aggressiveness. That's why Wimbledon's winners roster is dominated by names like King, Navratilova, Graf, Williams, McEnroe, Becker, Edberg, Sampras and Federer. That's 49 Singles Championships among those names alone, and notice there are no counter-punchers on that list. All of them are fire-breathing aggressive athletes. Clay court tennis today has changed greatly from what it was in the Sampras days, and even there aggressiveness is rewarded far more now than it used to be. Clay is about mastering The Slide, and Nadal's mastery in that regard is unique: he slides equally well in both directions, forehand and backhand. That said, Nadal is plenty aggressive anymore, he'd never have won Wimbledon or the Australian Open otherwise. Federer and Djokovic have also done extremely well on clay, mostly due to their understanding of sliding without losing their aggressive games. Murray will have the challenge of creating his own aggressiveness in his game, instead of relying on redirecting and diffusing the aggressiveness of his opponents. The inconsistent nature of the bounces on both of the natural surfaces will make his customary counter-punching game harder to execute effectively.
Murray's foot speed is excellent, but the natural surfaces require you to make those last millisecond adjustments, mostly regarding your foot
work. So Murray has hired on another expert to his team, Alex Corretja, to assist him during the clay court season. He's done very well and come a long way so far, so time will tell if he's ready to move his current success onto the surfaces that haven't helped him up to now.