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The Patriots Will Roll
By Cyd
Zeigler Jr.
Outsports.com
I learned a good
lesson in Super Bowl XXXV. After the Baltimore Ravens dominated the
Oakland Raiders, 16-3, in the AFC Championship, I immediately saw
the strength of the men in black and purple and said they would kill
the Giants in the Super Bowl.
It was the last
time there were two weeks between the Conference Championship games
and the Super Bowl. In those two weeks, the New York Giants were
flashier, they were fun, they strutted, partied, and, without
stepping on the field once in those two weeks, convinced many people
(including me) that they were the team to beat in the Super Bowl.
Meanwhile, the
Ravens quietly practiced, quietly dodged questions about Ray Lewis’
murder rap, and went about their business as though they were a team
preparing for another game.
Baltimore
embarrassed the New York Giants, 34-7.
I’ve been saying
for the last three months that the Carolina Panthers look like the
Baltimore Ravens the year they won the Super Bowl. They have three
distinct pieces that remind us particularly well of that Ravens
team: 1) a stud running back who can carry an offense; 2) a defense
that is playing its best ball in the playoffs; 3) a quarterback who
makes few mistakes, is efficient, and can make one or two big plays
in a game.
It’s that last
little piece that gets me, though. Jake Delhomme making big plays.
He’s done it
this season several times. The most notable was against the St.
Louis Rams in the Divisional Round of the NFC Playoffs. First play
of the second overtime: a 69-yard pass to Steve Smith for the
winning touchdown.
I was watching
ESPN and they showed the Top 10 plays by the Carolina Panthers this
season. No. 6 included a 40-yard pass to Steve Smith that set up the
game-winning TD against Washington; No. 3 three was a 70-yard
touchdown pass to Steve Smith against Dallas; and No. 1 was that
pass against the Rams. These were the only big passing plays
included in their Top 10.
And now, the
problem with this: those plays wouldn’t have worked against the
Patriots. The pass against Washington was into triple coverage; the
pass against Dallas was a seven yard out that Smith took all the
way; the pass against St. Louis was a 20-yard pass that Smith took
all the way.
Did you see
Peyton Manning struggle against the New England Patriots’ defense?
It was bad. After his first pass went for 32 yards to his tight end,
Manning didn’t complete a pass longer than 20-yards the rest of the
game – and he only completed one of those. The Patriots sat in their
defense, forcing the Colts to go on long drives that took 10, 12, 13
and 14 plays. They allowed Marvin Harrison to catch only three
balls, one of which he fumbled. They listened all week to the press
anointing the Colts’ offense as an incredible force to be reckoned
with and quietly plotted to undermine them.
Quietly. No
flair, no guarantees, no trash talking. Just plotting and preparing
and going about their business.
That’s how the
Patriots won their first Super Bowl. As nearly everyone was calling
the Rams “The Greatest Show on Turf,” the Patriots listened to it,
took it in, and proved “everyone” wrong.
That’s something
they’ve been doing all season. Lots of people dropped the Patriots
in their estimation after they sent Lawyer Milloy packing. Even
before they had played a game, the Patriots were suddenly worse than
they were in July. According to many. Again, the same thing happened
the year they won the Super Bowl, with Terry Glenn, Andy Katzenmoyer
and Drew Bledsoe falling by the wayside by Week 3.
This week, the
talk has been another Manning – Ricky – and the suddenly unstoppable
Panthers defense. Again, Ty Law and Rodney Harrison and the rest of
the Patriots defense has been listening to it. Taking it in.
It’s fun this
time of year to look back at exactly what we were thinking in
August. Here were my analyses of the two teams in the Super Bowl
before the season:
NEW ENGLAND
PATRIOTS
Outlook: When I look for a champion, I look for several
things: 1) serviceable quarterback (check); 2) inventive coach
(check); 3) strong defense (check); 4) "the vibe" (double check).
On top of those things, they have one of the most exciting wide
receivers in the League in David Patten, a strong tight end tandem
in Daniel Graham and Christian Fauria, and added defensive veterans
in Rodney Harrison, Roosevelt Colvin and Ted Washington. Going out
on a limb: the Pats will have a top 5 scoring offense and a top 5
defense in points allowed.
Forecast:
12-4. The Patriots should be disappointed this season if
they're not in the Super Bowl.
CAROLINA
PANTHERS
Outlook: This team scares me. In 2001, eight of their 13
losses were by less than a touchdown. In 2002, four of their nine
losses were by a field goal or less. Coach John Fox has gone about
doing everything he needs to do to make the Panthers a contender
this year. With the addition of Stephen Davis,
they now have a
running game to compliment their incredible defense. My thought is
that they will be "just fine." My gut tells me they are going to
make a run at the Super Bowl with someone other than Rodney Peete
coming in midseason.
Forecast: 9-7. They will be an incredible wild card
throughout the season, winning many games they "should" have lost.
Not too shabby.
My Super Bowl
pick in August was the New England Patriots over the Tampa Bay
Buccaneers. So I got the NFC South team wrong.
Now, comparing
these teams to Super Bowl XXXV, it’s the Patriots, not the Panthers,
who are looking a lot more like the Ravens of that year. They’re
preparing for this game quietly. They’re going about their business
quietly. They’ll be introduced, no doubt, just as they were two
years ago – not in order but as a team.
While the
Panthers have done well in the NFC playoffs, the Patriots are the
best team from the better conference with a better coach, a better
quarterback, better receivers, better tight ends, a better defense
who are playing more like a team. And, still, “the vibe.”
I had said a
week ago that they’d win in overtime by six. Strike that. Nothing
will be quiet about this victory for New England.
Patriots 34, Panthers 7
Related:
Super Bowl for the Clueless, plus Jim's pick
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Jan. 26, 2004 |