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How We Saw the Conference Championships

Cyd Zeigler

First, I got the Eagles-Falcons game soooo wrong. I couldn’t have been more wrong. The Eagles finally got over the hump – and I think that’s a great thing. They’ve had a great season (and a great four seasons – as I talk about below). Good for them!

Second, I got the Patriots-Steelers game dead on. I probably couldn’t have picked it much better (I suppose I could have picked them to win by 14, but 13 is pretty darn close).

So much for the SI jinx (Pats linebacker Tedy Bruschi adorned the mag's cover last week).

There are so many reasons they won that game: Patriots head coach Bill Belichick’s ability to defeat a quarterback the second time they meet in a season (he’s now 14-0 in such instances). That ability to adjust and learn from past mistakes is incomparable, and is a huge reason why they are one of the two best teams in the league in the last four years.

Deion Branch. How did everyone forget about him? I’ll tell you how. Branch caught one pass against Indianapolis and didn’t play against Pittsburgh on Halloween. It’s almost as though Belichick planned it that way – keep him out of the headlines so he can explode in the AFC Championship. I can’t imagine that’s the case – but, with a coach like Belichick, you have to wonder. How much you want to bet that David Patten – who has two catches for 20 yards in the last two games – explodes in the Super Bowl?

Quarterbacks. A two-time Super Bowl MVP who is 8-0 in the playoffs, or a rookie who decides not to wear gloves because the fans don't like it? Duh!

While all of this reflects on a great team, don’t even talk to me about a dynasty. I don't want to hear about it. It’s a dumb conversation. To me, a dynasty team is one that leaves a lasting mark on the League. The Steel Curtain was one. The 49ers of the ‘80s was another. The Cowboys of the ‘90s – they were good, but didn’t really leave a “legacy” – the jury’s out.

Five years from now, we could look back and, with some accuracy, assess whether this Patriots team is a “dynasty.” I think that chances are, the answer will be yes. When they win the Super Bowl this year and manage another one in the next two or three years, the case will be good. They also went 28-4 over the course of two seasons; that hasn’t been done many times. They also won 21 straight games; that’s never been done. The key, to me, that may mark them as a dynasty five years from now is the coaching. It’s just phenomenal. “Revolutionary,” maybe.

But, again, let’s talk about it in five years.

This Super Bowl could be seen as a referendum on the last four years. These are the two best teams in that time period. They each won 48 games in the regular season – better than every other team by at least four. They’ve been in a combined seven of the last eight conference championship games. They’ve won a combined seven division titles in four years. They’re a combined 13-3 in the playoffs in the last four years.

It seems fitting that they are playing for the championship now. For the Eagles, it will be about getting respect as that elite team they have been for four years. For the Patriots, it will be about getting respect as that super-elite team they have been for the last four years.

The writing, to me, is on the wall. All season, the AFC has been the better conference. Against the NFC, the AFC had a remarkable 44-20 record this season. That is overwhelming dominance. The Eagles lost two of their three games to AFC teams (though their game against the Bengals in week 17 really can’t be counted).

And consider this: the Patriots held the league’s highest-scoring team to their season low of three points. Against the league’s stingiest defense, they scored 34 (seven came via the Patriots' defense).

At the end of the day, though, all of the statistics and numbers don’t really matter. Matchups? Irrelevant. What matters is the fact that the New England Patriots are simply in a class of their own. The combination of coaching staff and players they have on that team is unparalleled in this league right now.

The moment when this team won the Super Bowl was the moment the Miami Dolphins intercepted Tom Brady’s last pass in their game in December. That kind of wake-up call awoke a team that may have started to get a little complacent. Had New England won that game and gone into Pittsburgh at 15-1, the outcome on Sunday may have been different.

Instead, the Dolphins’ victory over the Patriots – the most embarrassing loss by any team this season – secured the Patriots’ third victory in four games.

The Patriots redeemed their regular-season loss to Pittsburgh. While they don’t get to play Miami in the playoffs, they do get a chance to poetically redeem themselves for that game by winning big in Florida.

And they will.

I’m not being smug about it. I’m not being an obnoxious fan about it. It’s just the way it is. Yes, you should still watch the Super Bowl – it’s a wonderful part of Americana. But, instead of watching, wondering which team will win, sit back and watch the best team in football in a long time secure their spot among the NFL history’s elite teams – “dynasty” or not.

And to Jim: I don't need to fire back. It's just nice to see them win and see you come around.

New England Patriots 31, Philadelphia Eagles 10

Jim Buzinski

--Super Bowl Pick: I’ve learned my lesson—never go against the Patriots in a playoff game. I’ll have more before the game (including my Super Bowl for the Clueless) but for now: Patriots 31, Eagles 13. For point of reference, I had picked Philadelphia by 13 in the NFC title game and Pittsburgh by 3 in the AFC, so read into that what you will.

--Another year, two more generally uninteresting conference title games (unless you were a New England or Pittsburgh fan): Philadelphia 27, Atlanta 10 and New England 41, Pittsburgh 27. This is the third straight year that each title game was decided by 10 or more points. In the 10 NFL playoff games this year, only three can be considered exciting, tense games. This is why the regular season still trumps the playoffs in my book. 

--Tom Brady, you’re a terrific quarterback, but ditch the beard! You look like a Serbian rock star, and that’s not meant as a compliment. 

--Freddie Mitchell. Keep the Afro Mohawk. It’s absurd, which describes your act. Never has such an average wide receiver called so much attention to himself. 

--Some streaks stayed intact Sunday. Dome teams are now 0-9 in outdoor conference title games after Atlanta’s loss to Philadelphia. Brady is now 8-0 as a playoff quarterback, and his Patriots are 31-2 in their last 33 games. Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger lost, which means no rookie quarterback has ever made it to the Super Bowl. 

--So much for home field. With New England’s win at Pittsburgh, it marked the eighth straight year that a visiting team has won a conference title game. In that period, away teams are 9-7. In this period, the Steelers have lost three home championship games. 

--After hearing all week about blizzards and Arctic cold, the weather wasn’t a huge factor in either game. We saw several long passes and field goals and both fields were in good shape. 

--The Patriots have been made an early 6- to 7-point favorite by the bookies. In their two previous Super Bowls in their run, they won both on last-play field goals. 

--The Patriots are amazing. Last week they held the league’s most potent offense, Indianapolis, to 3 points. This week they score 34 offensive points against the Steelers, who had allowed the fewest points in the regular season. If they beat the Eagles, they will be the Team of the Decade

--There were two keys to New England’s win. They picked off Roethlisberger three times, and offensively they kept the Steelers defense off-balance all game. The key play was Rodney Harrison’s 87-yard interception return for a touchdown with 2:14 left in the first half. It gave the Pats a 24-3 lead and all but sealed the win. Had Big Ben thrown the ball away, a field goal would have drawn the Steelers to 17-6, a much more manageable deficit than 21. In his two playoff games, Roethlisberger threw five interceptions (but he will only get better and be a force for the next decade or so). 

--Steelers coach Bill Cowher made two fourth-down calls that will be second-guessed, though I supported them at the time. In the middle of the first quarter, down 3-0, the Steelers went for it on fourth-and-1 at the Patriots 40. They were stuffed and on the next play, Brady threw a 60-yard touchdown pass to Deion Branch. 

The second fourth-down call came early in the final period, with the Steelers facing fourth-and-goal from the 2. Cowher kicked a field goal, which cut the Patriots’ lead to 31-20. My three friends thought Cowher was wrong on both, especially the second. Their thought Pittsburgh was not playing to win; my feeling is that neither was key to the game and second-guessing always occurs when a call backfires.  

--Between commercials of the NFC game, we switched to the NFL Network and watched some of “Football America.” One of the featured subjects was a high school summer camp, and there were many shots of the players cavorting shirtless in rustic cabins and diving into a lake at a rock quarry. My friend, JP, dubbed the coach the “Pennsylvania Porn King” since he looked liked he was filming a Falcon video the way he was directing his charges. This was the second straight year we wound up seeing this same clip, which says a lot about the NFL Network’s programming. 

--Here are the ratings of the four quarterbacks on Sunday (having a rating of 100 is considered solid). Brady, 130. Donovan McNabb, 111. Roethlisberger, 78. Michael Vick, 46. The top two won, which is usually the case in the playoffs. 

--The Eagles finally got the monkey off Philadelphia’s back with their relatively easy win over the Falcons. Vick was exposed as a one-dimensional player who isn’t effective if he has to throw. His first-down third-period interception to Brian Dawkins was a killer.

--Loved the shot of Atlanta coach Jim Mora going ballistic late in the game, tossing his headset, then stomping on it. He’s the son of Jim Mora, the former coach who was 0-6 in the playoffs and notorious for his post-game meltdowns after a loss (“Playoffs?!!” was his most famous tirades.) 

--For the second straight game, Eagles running back Brian Westbrook was great, accounting for 135 total yards and several key first downs. 

--Eagles defensive coordinator Jim Johnson did a masterful job of confusing and pressuring Vick all game. He's one of those longtime coaches who never gets the kind of credit he deserves.

--Yes, Cyd is smug about the Patriots, despite his disclaimer at the left. This is someone who was "over them" in 2002 (when they failed to make the playoffs) and suddenly rediscovered them a year ago, and now is rhapsodizing about their place in NFL history like he's been their longtime chronicler. He's the same way with All Things Stanford and it is one of his charms. Fire away at me, Cyd! I can take it.

--Make your Super Bowl prediction on our Discussion Board.

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